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The medal table shown is based on the number of total medals rather than the number of gold medals won.

Olympic Games News

Japan forecast to challenge China for second place at Tokyo 2020

Date : 07 May 2019

California, United States, May 7, 2019: Host nation Japan is expected to be a genuine challenger to China for second place at next year's Olympic Games, according to sports stats specialists Gracenote, who revealed their first data-driven Virtual Medal Table forecast for Tokyo 2020 on Monday.

The United States is expected to win the most medals at Tokyo 2020 (47-32-44-123), while Japan is expected to improve its medal total by 54 per cent on its performance at the 2016 Rio Olympics making the host nation a serious challenger to China for second place.

Japan won an overall 41 medals in Rio including 12 golds. This latter number is expected to spiral with the projection for 2020 being 31 golds and an aggregate total of 63 medals.

China is projected to win 35 gold medals but will face a tough challenge from Japan which is expected to make huge gains from a combination of more medals in all of its strongest sports like judo and wrestling, and new and returning sports like baseball and softball.

China finished third in Rio beaten by Great Britain who pipped the Asian powerhouse by one gold medal – 27 to 26. The Chinese, who finished with a total of 70 medals in 2016, the country’s lowest return since 2004, is expected to improve in 2020 winning 76 medals.

This time hosts Japan are likely to be the main challengers to China for second place with the Chinese forecast to win medals in only 18 different sports, its lowest number since 1996.

The US is expected to win 47 golds in a total of 123 medals, two more than in 2016, and they are forecast to come from 28 different sports which should be an Olympic record. The Americans won 46 golds in Rio.

China and Japan are the only Asian countries predicted to finish in the top 10 with South Korea the next best performing country from Asia coming in at 11th on the Virtual Medal Table.

Source: Gracenote

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